U.S. Dollar Weaker Early, But Bulls Have Made Progress Recently

Tags: Market News
3 Dec 12:06pm
Posted by JimWyckoff
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CURRENCIES

The March U.S. dollar index is weaker in early trading today. Bulls have regained some fresh upside technical momentum recently, including Friday's bullish weekly high close. Slow stochastics for the dollar index are bullish early today. The dollar index finds shorter-term technical resistance at last week's high of 76.21 and then at 76.50. Shorter-term support is seen at the overnight low of 75.90 and then at Friday's low of 75.54. Today's key near-term Fibonacci support/resistance level: 76.68 Wyckoff's Intra Day Market Rating: 5.5

The March Euro is slightly higher in early electronic trading, but did hit a fresh three-week low overnight. The Euro finds sell stop orders are likely located just below technical support at the overnight low of 1.4638 and then more stops just below support at 1.4600. Shorter-term technical resistance for the Euro is seen at the overnight high of 1.4722 and then at 1.4750. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Slow stochastics for the Euro are bearish early today. Today's key near-term Fibonacci support/resistance level: 1.4762. Wyckoff's Intra Day Market Rating: 4.5

GOLD

Gold is trading weaker in early dealings today. Bulls have faded amid a firmer greenback and falling oil prices. For February gold, shorter-term technical support is seen at last week's low of $785.00 and then at $780.00. Sell stops likely reside just below those levels. Buy stops likely reside just above resistance at the overnight high of $798.00 and then just above resistance at $800.00. Today's key near-term Fibonacci support/resistance level: $798.00. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil prices are lower early today, with prices hitting a fresh six-week low and falling below $88 a barrel. In January crude, look for buy stops to reside just above resistance at $90.00 and then just above resistance at $91.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at $87.00, and then more sell stops just below support at $86.00. Today's key near-term Fibonacci support/resistance level: $85.58. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.0

GRAINS

Prices were lower in overnight trading. Losses in crude oil overnight pressured the grains overnight. Grain bulls should be very worried about the recent big losses in crude oil. The "outside markets" gold, crude oil and the dollar are still main drivers in the grain markets. Bean bulls are still in technical command, but that market is also on shaky ground. Wheat has made a strong recovery, but the bulls appeared to become exhausted at the higher price levels last week.

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About

JimWyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has been involved with the stock, financial and futures markets for more than 20 years. He was born and raised in Iowa, where he still resides. Wyckoff became a financial journalist with Futures World News for many years, cutting his teeth as a reporter on the futures trading floors in Chicago and New York, where he covered every futures market traded in the United States at one time or another. Not long after he began his career in financial journalism, he began studying technical analysis. By studying chart patterns and other technical indicators, he realized this approach to analyzing and trading markets could level the playing field between “professional insiders” in the markets and individual traders. His extensive studies of technical analysis and knowledge of markets led to several positions, including chief technical analyst at several well-known companies. He says his mission is not just to generate profits for traders but to also provide them with educational and insightful information because, in the fascinating business of trading, one never stops learning. Wyckoff received a Bachelor of Science degree at Iowa State University, graduating in 1984 with a major in journalism and a minor in economics. He and his wife have two children, a son in high school and a daughter in college. When he’s not analyzing markets and educating traders, Wyckoff says he loves adventures, from driving a Jeep across the highest mountain pass in the continental United States to extreme winter camping in the Boundary Waters to hiking in the jungles of South America.

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